Oil Prices Rise Again, Domestic Gasoline Is About To Be More Volatile Than Forecast?

#Oil Price #Crude Oil #Petroleum #Brent #WTI #OPEC #Energy #Economy #Inflation #Vietnam

Could just a few weeks of oil price increase cause the cost of transportation, food and goods in Vietnam to increase sharply in the second half of 2026?

Oil prices are becoming one of the most searched keywords as the world energy market continues to fluctuate. During the trading session on June 11, international oil prices continued to increase amid investors' concerns about global supply, while the domestic market also prepared for a new period of gasoline price adjustment.

Not only does it affect the energy industry, every additional dollar of oil prices can directly impact transportation, logistics, aviation, industrial production and ultimately the retail prices of goods that people have to pay every day.

Reference oil price list on June 11

Type of oil Price
Brent oil is about 93,900 VND/barrel
WTI oil is about 90,400 VND/barrel
The difference between Brent - WTI is about 3,500 VND/barrel

Note that the conversion rate is based on the reference exchange rate and may change at the time of transaction.

Why do oil prices increase?

Three big reasons are supporting oil prices to go up

✅ Stressgeopolitics in the Middle East

The Strait of Hormuz remains the world's most important energy shipping route. As soon as there is a risk of disruption, the market immediately reacts by pushing oil prices up sharply.

✅ OPEC+ continues to control supply

Major oil exporting countries still maintain cautious output policies to support oil prices and protect revenues.

✅ Consumption demand recovers

Summer in the US and Europe often brings increased fuel demand, especially gasoline and aviation fuel.

How does oil prices affect Vietnam?

Field Impact level
Road transport Very high
Logistics Very high
High Aviation
Fishing Cao
Industrial production Medium to high
Consumers Indirect but widespread

A transportation business that owns dozens of trucks can incur tens of millions of VND in additional fuel costs each month if oil prices continue to escalate.

The logistics industry is under the greatest pressure

Fuel costs currently account for 30% to 45% of the total operating costs of many transportation businesses.

If Brent oil moves closer to the $100/barrel mark for a long time, shipping rates may increase, affecting the cost of goods from food to electronics..

What should people care about?

1. Domestic gasoline prices are likely to increase if the world trend continues
2. Shipping and delivery costs may increase
3. Inflationary pressure may return in some essential commodity groups
4. Businesses that use a lot of fuel will be under greater profit pressure

Oil price scenario in the second half of 2026

Brent Price Scenario
Cautious 85,000 - 95,000 VND/barrel
Facility 95,000 - 105,000 VND/barrel
Tensions escalated to 110,000 - 140,000 VND/barrel

If geopolitical hot spots continue to be tense, many experts believe that Brent oil could completely exceed the threshold of 100 USD/barrel, creating more pressure on the global economy.

It is worth noting that while consumers often only care about gas prices at the gas station, investors are closely watching Brent oil prices. This is the earliest indicator of fluctuations that may appear in the entire economy.

#Oil Price #Crude Oil #Brent #WTI #Petroleum #Energy #Economy #Inflation #Logistics #Transportation #Vietnam #OilMarket #OPEC #Hormuz #OilTechnology