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If Brent oil exceeds 100 USD/barrel, how much will gasoline prices in Vietnam increase? Comment your prediction below
The new decision of President Donald Trump's administration is shaking the global energy market. Washington has ended a temporary waiver that allowed some Russian oil blocks to continue to be traded internationally. This move is considered by analysts to be the US's toughest signal towards Moscow since the beginning of 2026.
What is worrying is that this decision comes at a time when the Middle East region is still at risk of disruption to transportation through the Strait of Hormuz, a maritime route that transports about 20 percent of global oil consumption.
IMMEDIATE IMPACT
Expected Impact Factor
Russian oil exports plummeted
Brent oil price volatility increased
Global gasoline prices May increase
Inflation Under pressure
Stocks fluctuate strongly
Logistics costs are increasing
WHY IS THE MARKET CONCERNED?
The previous exemption mechanism was maintained to avoid a supply shortage shock. When this mechanism ends, large importing countries such as India and Indonesia may have to find alternative sources at higher costs.
If there is instability in Hormuz at the same time, oil prices could completely skyrocket in just a few trading sessions.
OIL PRICE MARKET NEED TO WATCH
Brent Oil Price Meaning
80 USD/barrel Relatively stable market
90 USD/barrel Start tradinginflation pressure
100 USD/barrel Gasoline prices are at risk of increasing sharply
120 USD/barrel The global economy suffered a big shock
⚔️ WHO BENEFITS
* Oil exporting countries such as Saudi Arabia
* Oil and gas exploitation companies
* LNG and energy transportation business
⚠️ WHO IS UNDER PRESSURE
* Airlines
* Transportation businesses
* Chemical industry
* Global consumers
EFFECTS ON VIETNAM
Vietnam imports a large amount of finished petroleum products. If international oil prices increase sharply, the costs of fuel, transportation, electricity and essential goods could all come under increased pressure.
THE SCENARIO THAT MAKES THE MARKET MOST FEARFUL
1. The US tightens sanctions on Russian oil.
2. Hormuz is disrupted.
3. Global supply shortage.
4. Brent price exceeds 100 USD/barrel.
5. Inflation returns.
One political decision in Washington could change fuel costs for billions of people worldwide.
In your opinion, will oil prices exceed 100 USD/barrel in the near future or will the market cool down soon? Please leave your comments.
References from Bloomberg and Tuoi Tre Online
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