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If this trend continues for another 20 years, will Japan become the first major economy in the world to lose tens of millions of people and lack labor on an unprecedented scale?
Japan has just recorded a shocking milestone when the national population decreased by nearly 3.1 million people in just 5 years. The total population is now more than 123 million people, the sharpest decrease since the country began modern statistics.
What worries experts is not the absolute numbers but the fact that the wave of decline has spread to areas once considered "growth strongholds" around Tokyo.
For decades, prefectures like Saitama, Chiba and Kanagawa have steadily attracted people thanks to jobs and modern infrastructure. However, for the first time in modern history, these localities also began to lose people.
According to the latest data, only Tokyo and Okinawa are able to maintain population growth.
The Picture of Japan's Population Is Red
Population Change Area
Tokyo +1.4%
Okinawa +0.1%
Akita -8.1%
Aomori -7.9%
Iwate -7.0%
Yamagata -7.0%
Kochi -7.0%
Osaka -0.8%
Looking at the population map, most of Japan is in a sharp decline zone. Many localities lost from 5% to more than 8% of their population in just a short period of time.
What's Happening
Three major causes are affecting Japan at the same time
Impact Factor
Sine rateh low The number of children born continuously decreases
Population aging Elderly people account for a very large proportion
High cost of living Many families are afraid to have children
In 2025, the number of children born in Japan continues to fall to a historic low. Meanwhile, the number of people who die each year is much higher than the number of children born.
This gap causes the population to naturally decrease at an increasingly rapid rate.
Tokyo Is Becoming an Exception
Tokyo is still growing in population by attracting young people from across the country.
However, this creates a paradox.
Rural areas lose young people.
Small cities lose workers.
School closed.
The hospital lacks staff.
Many villages gradually disappeared from the population map.
Tokyo is getting stronger but the rest of the country is getting weaker.
Huge Economic Impact
Risk Area
Labor Serious lack of human resources
Real estate Abandoned houses increased sharply
Consumption Purchasing power decreases
Health Care costs for the elderly increase
Budget Social security pressure explodes
Currently, Japan has millions of abandoned houses.
In many localities, people are even given houses for free or sold at extremely low prices.
There are houses for sale for only approx
25,000,000 VND to 250,000,000 VND
Unbelievable price for a country among the richest in the world.
What Japan Tried
The Japanese government has implemented a series of measures
✓ Childbirth allowance
✓ Housing support for young families
✓ Expand selective immigration policy
✓ Child care support
✓ Encourage businesses to reduce working hours
However the resultIt's still not enough to reverse the trend.
A Future Worth Pondering
It is worth noting that Japan is not the only case.
South Korea, Italy, Spain and many other developed countries are also facing low birth rates and aging populations.
Japan is just one country ahead in a trend that could spread globally.
The biggest question now is no longer whether Japan's population will continue to decline or not.
It's about how fast the decline will be and how the world's fourth-largest economy will adapt as millions of people disappear from the workforce over the next few decades.
Do you think Vietnam could fall into a similar situation as Japan in the future?
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