IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS: PETROLIMEX "MAKEAWAY" IN THE FIRST QUARTER 2026

1️⃣ Big surprise: from loss forecast → trillion profit

At the 2026 General Meeting of Shareholders, Petrolimex predicted:
Loss of about 1,000 billion VND in the first quarter

But in reality:

* Profit before tax: 1,012 billion VND
* Profit after tax: 736 billion VND
* Completely reversed compared to the loss of 1,893 billion in the same period in 2025

This is a very strong "steering move" in an industry with very thin profit margins



2️⃣ Bottom line: profit margin increased dramatically

Revenue: 38,247 billion VND (almost flat)

But gross profit:

* Increased 7.5 times
* Reached nearly 3,400 billion VND

Gross profit margin:

* 2025: 1.2%
* 2026: 8.87%

This is an extremely rare level of improvement in the petroleum industry



3️⃣ Why is there a "profit miracle"?

3 main factors:

1. Strong global oil price fluctuations

* Large input - output price difference
* Make good use of low-priced inventory

2. Optimize operations & inventory

* Better import management
* Benefit from market timing

3. Domestic price management mechanism

* Selling price adjustment delay helps improve short-term margin



4️⃣ Strategic perspective 2026

Petrolimex's whole year plan:

* Output: >19.44 million m³ (+10%)
* Revenue: 315,000 billion VND
* Profit before tax: 3,380 billion VND

After the first quarter:

* Accomplished 12.2% of revenue
* Complete 30% profit

→ Profits are "ahead" of plan



5️⃣ Warning of risks ahead ⚠️

Current high profits are not necessarily sustainable because:

* World oil prices fluctuate strongly (influenced by the Middle East)
* Profit margin of the petroleum industrylow
* Pricing policy is subject to change

If the price cycle reverses → profits can decrease rapidly



6️⃣ Quick conclusion

Petrolimex has:

* “Spectacular escape”
* Make good use of price cycles
* Rare increase in profit margin

But:

*This may be a cyclical return, not a long-term trend



QUICK SUMMARY

* Profit of 736 billion after tax
* Profit margin increased from 1.2% → 8.87%
* Completed 30% of profit plan after only 1 quarter



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